Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 45.653501 52.436465 59.490650 67.342918 75.808316 84.630734 94.491064
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.751229 44.153885 54.508132 66.623561 80.283504 95.090942 112.239868
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.016341 38.609489 50.805716 65.609578 82.831962 101.999678 124.713653
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 23.586358 34.994657 48.655993 65.759233 86.169415 109.360904 137.330464
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.131964 32.059912 46.877505 65.949960 89.218279 116.124934 149.050604
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.520524 29.848209 45.693755 66.602104 92.605065 123.125787 160.930817
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 14.748609 27.072398 43.506155 65.757421 93.973486 127.584684 169.713947
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.132991 25.706926 43.000027 66.910211 97.699833 134.800080 181.726527
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.845034 24.659261 42.800119 68.364524 101.738296 142.359142 194.144343
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.039317 22.600970 41.032721 67.606853 102.860859 146.272080 202.113840
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.182950 20.207370 38.590263 65.770672 102.458847 148.195793 207.584245
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.719629 20.085017 39.420689 68.396826 107.864648 157.380296 221.984364
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.032145 19.506228 39.547724 70.059036 112.055164 165.127119 234.749455
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.833132 17.825158 37.874377 69.090494 112.689440 168.341883 241.894928
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.792691 16.262924 36.252469 68.085870 113.190345 171.326040 248.711237
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.097338 15.274516 35.466292 68.234363 115.213136 176.241883 257.943955
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.495861 14.374154 34.749814 68.430175 117.264238 181.176147 267.198592
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.036374 13.707741 34.372725 69.097313 119.946491 186.926827 277.497880
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.433118 12.545974 33.040242 68.233089 120.433671 189.765521 284.070358
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.150860 12.153231 33.041588 69.412541 123.798051 196.405140 295.525529
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.931043 11.885591 33.246817 70.900244 127.601827 203.639815 307.770654
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.516066 10.913368 32.061802 70.125211 128.124225 206.479957 314.341801
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.081484 9.676126 30.248997 68.246645 126.980759 207.037040 317.920337